NCAAB
Loyola Marymount
1-1
Troy
0-2
Win Probability
Loyola Marymount travels to Troy in a matchup where the simulation slightly favors the home side. The game projects as a near-toss-up, with the outcome likely to turn on perimeter shooting and transition efficiency in a contest where both teams figure to score in the low 70s. In games where AccuScore's lean has been this modest, the favored side won 57% of the time across more than 6,700 graded matchups. For Loyola Marymount to pull off the upset, the team would need to overcome Troy's home-court positioning and generate the offensive rhythm required to outscore a host playing at full strength.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | TROY | EV | LMU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -110 | +0.1% | -110 | -4.7% |
| Fanatics ↗ | +100 | +2.5% | -120 | -6.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -129 | -3.4% | -129 | -7.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 148.5 | -110 | -6.4% | -110 | +1.8% |
Where to Bet
silverWin probability: 52.5%
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AccuScore's simulation makes Troy 53% to beat Loyola Marymount (48%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Troy the more likely winner at 53%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Troy a 53% chance of beating Loyola Marymount, against 48% for Loyola Marymount. Troy are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Loyola Marymount (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.1–17.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Troy (0-2 so far) project to finish 13.2–14.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loyola Marymount | 13.1–17.9 | 2% | 3% |
| Troy | 13.2–14.8 | 7% | 6% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Loyola Marymount and Troy come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Loyola Marymount have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).
Troy have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Loyola Marymount 1, Troy 0. The last meeting, on Nov 13, 2025, finished Troy 63, Loyola Marymount 74.