NCAAB
Wyoming
2-0
North Carolina
2-0
Win Probability
Wyoming travels to Chapel Hill to face North Carolina, with the simulation favoring the Tar Heels decisively. North Carolina's depth will be tested early; the model projects the visiting Cowboys to stay within striking distance through much of the game, though UNC's offensive firepower should ultimately prove decisive. When AccuScore has leaned this strongly toward a team across 560 graded games, that side won 97 percent of the time. For Wyoming to pull the upset, the team would need to generate consistent stops and keep pace with North Carolina's scoring—a difficult task for a visitor playing at this pace.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UNC | EV | WYO | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -1700 | -2.4% | +890 | -0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1200 | -1.3% | +750 | -7.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1736 | -2.4% | +513 | -19.4% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 153.5 | -115 | -3.9% | -105 | -0.5% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 154 | -110 | -4.1% | -110 | -0.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes North Carolina 90% to beat Wyoming (10%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes North Carolina the more likely winner at 90%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives North Carolina a 90% chance of beating Wyoming, against 10% for Wyoming. North Carolina are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Wyoming (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.1–12.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 14% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
North Carolina (2-0 so far) project to finish 21.0–11.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 70% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wyoming | 18.1–12.9 | 8% | 14% |
| North Carolina | 21.0–11.0 | 7% | 70% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Wyoming and North Carolina come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
North Carolina have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).