NCAAB
Cornell
2-1
St. Bonaventure
1-1
Win Probability
St. Bonaventure hosts Cornell in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. The outcome hinges on whether Cornell's perimeter threats can keep pace with St. Bonaventure's scoring depth: Jacob Beccles has a 47% chance to exceed 21 combined points, rebounds and assists, but he'll face competition from Ari Fulton, who has a 46% chance to surpass 30 in the same category. On games shaped this way across the model's historical record, the favored side won 81% of the time. Cornell would need to replicate the upset that occurs roughly once per six similar matchups to leave St. Bonaventure's arena with a victory.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SBU | EV | COR | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -12.0% | -115 | -26.4% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes St. Bonaventure 75% to beat Cornell (25%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. Bonaventure the more likely winner at 75%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. Bonaventure a 75% chance of beating Cornell, against 25% for Cornell. St. Bonaventure are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Cornell (1-1 so far) project to finish 13.3–13.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
St. Bonaventure (1-1 so far) project to finish 18.2–12.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cornell | 13.3–13.7 | 14% | 12% |
| St. Bonaventure | 18.2–12.8 | 7% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Cornell and St. Bonaventure come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Cornell have won 1 of their last 2 (L-W, most recent first).
St. Bonaventure have won 1 of their last 2 (W-L, most recent first).
The teams have met 3 times since 2011: Cornell 0, St. Bonaventure 3. The last meeting, on Jan 4, 2014, finished Cornell 57, St. Bonaventure 81.