NCAAB
Portland State
1-1
Colorado State
2-0
Win Probability
Colorado State hosts Portland State in a matchup the simulation favors decisively. Jase Butler and Kyle Jorgensen lead the Rams' balanced scoring attack, each with a 48-49% chance of exceeding 22 combined points, rebounds and assists, while Jaquay Randolph anchors the visiting Vikings with a 48% chance of clearing 25 in the same category. The game hinges on whether Portland State can sustain offensive production on the road; AccuScore's model won 92% of 785 games shaped this way. For the Vikings to pull the upset, Randolph and the rest of their lineup would need to exceed their baseline projections while Colorado State's depth—six players with at least a 45% chance of reaching their thresholds—fails to materialize.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | CSU | EV | PRST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -4.6% | +202 | -33.7% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado State 89% to beat Portland State (11%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Colorado State the more likely winner at 89%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Colorado State a 89% chance of beating Portland State, against 11% for Portland State. Colorado State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Portland State (0-1 so far) project to finish 13.0–15.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 11% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Colorado State (2-0 so far) project to finish 15.2–13.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 17% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portland State | 13.0–15.0 | 12% | 11% |
| Colorado State | 15.2–13.8 | 3% | 17% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Portland State and Colorado State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Colorado State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).