Colgate
0-2
#13St. John's
2-0
Win Probability
Colgate travels to St. John's in a matchup heavily favoring the home team. The simulation projects a decisive advantage for St. John's, built on their ability to score in volume—the Red Storm are projected near 92 points, with Kadary Richmond and Zuby Ejiofor combining for over 35 expected points. Colgate will struggle to keep pace; the away team's projected total sits well short. On games shaped this decisively one way, AccuScore's favored side has won 97 percent of the time across a comparable sample. For Colgate to upset, they would need to hold St. John's well below their projection while generating efficient scoring from their own end—a tall order for a 0-2 team on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | SJU | EV | COLG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -20000 | -0.4% | +3500 | -28.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -50000 | -0.5% | +7000 | -7.4% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -55290 | -0.5% | +279 | -47.7% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -3.0% | -105 | -1.5% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 156.5 | -106 | -1.1% | -114 | -3.4% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 156.5 | -115 | -3.0% | -105 | -1.5% |
| Caesars ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | -2.0% | -110 | -2.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 157.5 | -110 | -4.6% | -110 | +0.0% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes St. John's 99% to beat Colgate (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes St. John's the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives St. John's a 99% chance of beating Colgate, against 1% for Colgate. St. John's are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Colgate (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.5–15.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
St. John's (2-0 so far) project to finish 23.2–6.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 90% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colgate | 14.5–15.5 | 23% | 18% |
| St. John's | 23.2–6.8 | 31% | 90% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Colgate and St. John's come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Colgate have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
St. John's have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Colgate 1, St. John's 0. The last meeting, on Dec 6, 2025, finished St. John's 50, Colgate 94.