Alcorn State
0-3
Murray State
3-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
ALCN
0.8% win prob
Moneyline
MUR
99.2% win prob
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Murray State 99% to beat Alcorn State (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Murray State the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Murray State a 99% chance of beating Alcorn State, against 1% for Alcorn State. Murray State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Alcorn State (0-3 so far) project to finish 8.1–23.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Murray State (3-0 so far) project to finish 21.2–9.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 27% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alcorn State | 8.1–23.9 | 3% | 3% |
| Murray State | 21.2–9.8 | 23% | 27% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Alcorn State and Murray State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Alcorn State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Murray State have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).