Stetson
0-3
Howard
1-2
Win Probability
Howard hosts Stetson in a matchup the simulation decisively favours to the home side. The Hatters arrive winless at 0–3, while Howard stands at 1–2 and looks to build on that win at home. In the simulation's 50,000 runs, Howard's margin comes from perimeter shooting: the model projects Howard's guards to find open looks that Stetson's defence cannot consistently contest. On games shaped like this one—where the simulation has leaned this heavily toward one side—that side won 92% of the time across 793 graded contests. For Stetson to pull the upset, their ball movement would need to generate the kind of three-point volume that neutralises Howard's expected advantage in pace and spacing.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | HOW | EV | STET | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -575 | -0.3% | +425 | -9.6% |
| FanDuel ↗ | -630 | -1.0% | +450 | -7.7% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -625 | -0.9% | +450 | -7.7% |
| Caesars ↗ | -600 | -0.7% | +430 | -9.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -650 | -1.2% | +460 | -6.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| FanDuel ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| Caesars ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 152.5 | -110 | +0.3% | -110 | -4.8% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Howard 85% to beat Stetson (15%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Howard the more likely winner at 85%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Howard a 85% chance of beating Stetson, against 15% for Stetson. Howard are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Stetson (0-3 so far) project to finish 7.3–20.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Howard (1-2 so far) project to finish 17.6–10.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 42% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Stetson and Howard come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2025: Stetson 1, Howard 0. The last meeting, on Nov 18, 2025, finished Howard 60, Stetson 64.