NCAAB
UNC Greensboro
2-2
Cornell
2-2
Win Probability
UNC Greensboro travels to Ithaca to face Cornell in a matchup between evenly matched teams, each holding a 2-2 record. The simulation decisively favours the home side, projecting a Cornell victory. Cornell's offensive execution will likely prove decisive: the model gives their leading scorer a 67% chance to exceed 18 points, while UNC Greensboro's top perimeter threat has a 59% chance to surpass 15. On similar games shaped this way, AccuScore's favoured side won 81% of 1,356 graded contests. For the visiting Spartans to pull the upset, they would need to force Cornell into an uncharacteristically poor shooting night and win the turnover battle decisively.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | COR | EV | UNCG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -330 | -1.9% | +260 | -2.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -320 | -1.6% | +250 | -4.1% |
| BetRivers ↗ | -335 | -2.1% | +245 | -4.8% |
| betPARX ↗ | -335 | -2.1% | +245 | -4.8% |
| TwinSpires ↗ | -335 | -2.1% | +245 | -4.8% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | +1.7% | -110 | -6.3% |
| Caesars ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | +1.7% | -110 | -6.3% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | +1.7% | -110 | -6.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | +1.7% | -110 | -6.3% |
| BetRivers ↗ | 158.5 | -113 | +1.1% | -110 | -6.3% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell 74% to beat UNC Greensboro (26%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cornell a 74% chance of beating UNC Greensboro, against 26% for UNC Greensboro. Cornell are at home and favoured on these numbers.
UNC Greensboro (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.6–18.4 and make the NCAA Tournament in 3% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Cornell (1-2 so far) project to finish 12.5–14.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro | 10.6–18.4 | 3% | 3% |
| Cornell | 12.5–14.5 | 12% | 10% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How UNC Greensboro and Cornell come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UNC Greensboro have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Cornell have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).