NCAAB
Idaho State
0-3
Seattle U
1-2
Win Probability
Idaho State travels to Seattle U in a matchup that heavily favors the home side. The simulation leans decisively toward Seattle U, projecting a 16-point margin driven by Seattle U's offensive efficiency—the Redhawks' scoring will likely determine whether the visitor can keep pace. On games shaped this way, AccuScore's favored side has won 97 percent of the time across a 630-game sample. For Idaho State to pull off an upset, the Bengals would need to contain Seattle U's scoring while exceeding their own projected output by a significant margin, a tall task on the road.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | Line | SEA | EV | IDST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -15.5 | -110 | -1.0% | -110 | -3.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -16.5 | -110 | -4.2% | -110 | -0.4% |
| Caesars ↗ | -16.5 | -110 | -4.2% | -110 | -0.4% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -16 | -105 | -1.5% | -115 | -2.8% |
| Book | SEA | EV | IDST | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -2100 | -2.3% | +1000 | -0.5% |
| BetMGM ↗ | -2000 | -2.2% | +950 | -2.8% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -1800 | -2.0% | +1000 | -0.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -2659 | -2.8% | +814 | -8.9% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.3% | -105 | -0.1% |
| BetMGM ↗ | 144.5 | -115 | -4.3% | -105 | -0.1% |
| Caesars ↗ | 144.5 | -110 | -3.3% | -110 | -1.2% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 145 | -110 | -4.4% | -110 | -0.0% |
| Polymarket ↗ | 145.5 | -172 | -13.2% | -471 | -17.6% |
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AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle U 91% to beat Idaho State (9%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Seattle U the more likely winner at 91%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Seattle U a 91% chance of beating Idaho State, against 9% for Idaho State. Seattle U are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Idaho State (0-3 so far) project to finish 7.5–21.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 2% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Seattle U (1-2 so far) project to finish 14.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State | 7.5–21.5 | 1% | 2% |
| Seattle U | 14.7–14.3 | 4% | 5% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Idaho State and Seattle U come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Idaho State have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
Seattle U have won 1 of their last 3 (L-W-L, most recent first).