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NCAAB

St. Thomas vs Army Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Sat, Nov 14, 2026, 1:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Sat, Nov 14 • 6:00 PMSilver Edge
STMN

St. Thomas

2-2

VS
ARMY

Army

1-2

Win Probability

Moneyline

STMN

-375

68.5% win prob

EV -6.6%

Fanatics

Moneyline

ARMY

+290

31.5% win prob

EV +11.4%

Fanatics

Analysis

St. Thomas travels to face Army in a matchup where the simulation clearly favors the visitors. The model projects a tight affair decided by perimeter shooting and ball movement, with St. Thomas's offensive spacing creating the decisive margin. Army will need to control tempo and force turnovers to keep pace; in similar games where the model leaned this strongly, the favored side won 68% of the time. If Army's defense can keep St. Thomas's outside threats in check and generate consistent stops, the hosts remain very much in the game.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadSTMN -6.5
35.55.75-24
STMN Cover
49.2%
no odds at this line
ARMY Cover
50.8%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 148.5
109.5153.25197
Over Cover
53.0%
EV +0.6%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
47.0%
EV -5.1%
-110Fanatics ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

60.5%STMN
Tied 4.5%
ARMY35.0%
1st Half SpreadSTMN -3
233-17
STMN Cover
47.2%
no odds at this line
ARMY Cover
48.4%
no odds at this line
Push 4.5% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 71
517191
Over Cover
48.3%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
48.1%
no odds at this line
Push 3.6% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

ARMY STMN
Sort:

EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineARMYEVSTMNEV
Caesars ↗+7.5-110+3.1%-110-7.6%
Fanatics ↗+7.5-105+4.3%-115-8.5%

Moneyline

BookARMYEVSTMNEV
Fanatics ↗+290+11.4%-375-6.6%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
Fanatics ↗148.5-110+0.6%-110-5.1%

Betting Splits

Share of bets (grey) and of money (green) on each side, per source. Sportsbook figures count tickets; Polymarket counts traders and Kalshi counts trades. Sources are shown separately, never averaged.

Moneyline
Sportsbooks
STMN
94% · 98%
ARMY
6% · 2%

Where to Bet

silver
ARMY ML+11.4% EV

Win probability: 31.5%

Fanatics
+290Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes St. Thomas 69% to beat Army (32%).

Projection updated Nov 14, 12:51 AM ET

Who will win St. Thomas vs Army?

AccuScore's simulation makes St. Thomas the more likely winner at 69%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will Army beat St. Thomas?

AccuScore's simulation gives Army a 32% chance of beating St. Thomas, against 69% for St. Thomas. Army are at home but the underdog on these numbers.

Every St. Thomas vs Army meeting →St. Thomas predictions & record →Army predictions & record →

Season outlook

St. Thomas (1-2 so far) project to finish 16.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 26% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

Army (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.1–15.9 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
St. Thomas16.5–12.532%26%
Army14.1–15.911%10%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How St. Thomas and Army come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

St. ThomasLLW
  • Nov 8vs Green BayL 67–76
  • Nov 6at MinnesotaL 62–76
  • Nov 2at PresbyterianW 87–78

St. Thomas have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).

ArmyL
  • Nov 2at DukeL 50–84

Army have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).