Coppin State
1-3
South Florida
1-2
Win Probability
South Florida hosts Coppin State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favours the home side. Coppin State's offensive struggles will be central: the Eagles project to 61.5 points, well below the pace needed to keep pace with USF's 86.8. South Florida's depth at guard should exploit that shortfall; the Bulls' backcourt is built to run, and Coppin State's perimeter defence will determine whether the visitors can stay within reach. In games this lopsided, AccuScore's favoured side won 97% of 632 graded contests. For Coppin State to pull the upset, they would need to slow the tempo dramatically and solve South Florida's offensive execution.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | USF | EV | COPP | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | -20000 | -0.4% | +3500 | -26.6% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -20000 | -0.4% | +5000 | -16.9% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -9962 | -0.2% | +2171 | -35.2% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -3.4% | -115 | -1.1% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 150.5 | -105 | -3.4% | -115 | -1.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 150 | -110 | -3.2% | -110 | -1.2% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes South Florida 99% to beat Coppin State (1%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes South Florida the more likely winner at 99%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives South Florida a 99% chance of beating Coppin State, against 1% for Coppin State. South Florida are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Coppin State (0-3 so far) project to finish 7.2–21.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 5% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
South Florida (1-2 so far) project to finish 21.2–10.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 35% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coppin State | 7.2–21.8 | 5% | 5% |
| South Florida | 21.2–10.8 | 32% | 35% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Coppin State and South Florida come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Coppin State have won 0 of their last 3 (L-L-L, most recent first).
South Florida have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).
The teams have met once since 2025: Coppin State 0, South Florida 1. The last meeting, on Nov 11, 2025, finished Coppin State 50, South Florida 100.