Colgate
0-3
Delaware
1-2
Win Probability
Colgate travels to Delaware in a matchup where the simulation leans clearly toward the home side. The projected margin is razor-thin—just 2.4 points separates the teams—yet Delaware holds a decisive advantage in win probability. This game turns on ball security and three-point shooting; small differences in either will determine the outcome. In 6,747 games where AccuScore favored one side this strongly, that side won 57% of the time. For Colgate to pull off the upset despite visiting Newark, the Red Raiders would need to capitalize on Delaware's mistakes and stay efficient from beyond the arc.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | DEL | EV | COLG | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fanatics ↗ | -110 | +5.2% | -110 | -9.7% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -351 | -12.9% | -285 | -21.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet ↗ | 148.5 | -115 | -2.4% | -105 | -2.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 149 | -110 | -2.5% | -110 | -1.9% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Delaware 58% to beat Colgate (42%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Delaware the more likely winner at 58%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Delaware a 58% chance of beating Colgate, against 42% for Colgate. Delaware are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Colgate (0-3 so far) project to finish 14.3–15.7 and make the NCAA Tournament in 18% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Delaware (0-2 so far) project to finish 12.2–16.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 6% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Colgate and Delaware come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
The teams have met once since 2022: Colgate 1, Delaware 0. The last meeting, on Nov 25, 2022, finished Colgate 72, Delaware 68.