UNC Greensboro
2-2
Cornell
2-2
Win Probability
Moneyline
UNCG
26.2% win prob
Moneyline
COR
73.8% win prob
UNC Greensboro travels to face Cornell in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the home side. Dionte Neal has a 48% chance of exceeding 24 combined points, rebounds and assists for the Spartans, while Cornell's Anthony Nimani projects at 47% to surpass 21 in the same category. The game hinges on ball movement and depth: Cornell's balanced scoring—with Jacob Beccles, Kaspar Sepp and Nimani all capable of high-impact games—offers more paths to victory than UNC Greensboro's reliance on its top offensive options. In games where AccuScore's model has favored a team this decisively, that side won 81% of the time. For the Spartans to pull off the upset, they would need multiple bench contributors like Braxton Stacker and Jon Mani (both at 49% to exceed 18 combined) to exceed their individual thresholds simultaneously.
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
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UNC Greensboro (0-2 so far) project to finish 10.7–18.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 4% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Cornell (1-2 so far) project to finish 12.7–14.3 and make the NCAA Tournament in 12% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNC Greensboro | 10.7–18.3 | 3% | 4% |
| Cornell | 12.7–14.3 | 14% | 12% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell 74% to beat UNC Greensboro (26%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Cornell the more likely winner at 74%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Cornell a 74% chance of beating UNC Greensboro, against 26% for UNC Greensboro. Cornell are at home and favoured on these numbers.
How UNC Greensboro and Cornell come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UNC Greensboro have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).
Cornell have won 1 of their last 3 (L-L-W, most recent first).