Eastern Kentucky
3-1
Kent State
1-2
Win Probability
Eastern Kentucky travels to face Kent State in a matchup the model heavily favors the hosts to win. The simulation projects a low-scoring affair, with Kent State's offense needing to execute efficiently; the game likely turns on whether Eastern Kentucky can keep pace from three-point range and force the hosts into mistakes. On games where AccuScore has leaned this decisively toward the home side, that team won 91% of the time across 815 graded contests. For Eastern Kentucky to pull the upset, their defense would need to hold Kent State well below the projected total and convert at an unusually high rate themselves.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | KENT | EV | EKU | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | -690 | -3.2% | +480 | +3.1% |
| Fanatics ↗ | -600 | -2.3% | +430 | -1.5% |
| Polymarket ↗ | -1472 | -6.4% | -125 | -33.5% |
| Book | Line | Over | EV (O) | Under | EV (U) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel ↗ | 158.5 | -110 | +3.1% | -110 | -7.6% |
| theScore Bet ↗ | 156.5 | -110 | +7.8% | -110 | -12.3% |
| Fanatics ↗ | 158 | -110 | +4.2% | -110 | -8.6% |
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NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes Kent State 82% to beat Eastern Kentucky (18%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes Kent State the more likely winner at 82%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives Kent State a 82% chance of beating Eastern Kentucky, against 18% for Eastern Kentucky. Kent State are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Eastern Kentucky (0-1 so far) project to finish 12.4–15.6 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
Kent State (0-2 so far) project to finish 14.0–14.0 and make the NCAA Tournament in 8% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Kentucky | 12.4–15.6 | 9% | 8% |
| Kent State | 14.0–14.0 | 8% | 8% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Eastern Kentucky and Kent State come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
Kent State have won 0 of their last 2 (L-L, most recent first).