College Basketball · Pac-12
AccuScore projects Gonzaga to finish 19.3–8.7 with a 67% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 1.6% chance of winning the national championship. Next: 59% to win away at Purdue.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 66.8% | |
| Play in the First Round | 62.5% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 39.3% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 22.0% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 12.0% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 6.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 3.2% | |
| Win the national title | 1.6% |
Likeliest seed lines: 2 (8%), 1 (7%), 3 (7%), 4 (6%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Utah State | 20.3–10.7 | 25% | 50% |
| Gonzaga | 19.3–8.7 | 39% | 67% |
| Boise State | 16.2–13.8 | 12% | 28% |
| San Diego State | 15.7–11.3 | 16% | 35% |
| Colorado State | 14.5–14.5 | 9% | 22% |
| Oregon State | 14.4–16.6 |
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| 11% |
| Fresno State | 14.3–15.7 | 5% | 13% |
| Texas State | 13.6–17.4 | 4% | 11% |
| Washington State | 12.4–18.6 | 4% | 12% |