College Basketball · Conference USA
AccuScore projects Liberty to finish 16.2–12.8 with a 24% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship. Next: 28% to win away at High Point.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 24.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 20.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 8.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 3.7% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.6% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.6% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.3% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (3%), 13 (2%), 14 (2%), 16 (2%).
| Tip-off | Opponent | LIB win | Projected score |
|---|---|---|---|
| at High Point | 28% | 🔒 Pro |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 16.2–12.8 | 16% | 24% |
| Sam Houston | 15.3–13.7 | 18% | 27% |
| Kennesaw State | 15.0–12.0 | 17% | 26% |
| Western Kentucky | 14.6–14.4 | 12% | 18% |
| Jacksonville State | 14.5–15.5 | 10% | 16% |
| Florida International | 14.3–14.7 |
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| 15% |
| Middle Tennessee | 13.6–13.4 | 12% | 18% |
| New Mexico State | 13.0–15.0 | 10% | 15% |
| Missouri State | 13.0–14.0 | 10% | 14% |
| Delaware | 11.1–17.9 | 4% | 7% |