College Basketball · Conference USA
AccuScore projects Middle Tennessee to finish 13.6–13.4 with a 18% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 18.4% | |
| Play in the First Round | 14.9% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 6.2% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 2.6% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.4% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.2% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (2%), 16 (2%), 13 (2%), 14 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Liberty | 16.2–12.8 | 16% | 24% |
| Sam Houston | 15.3–13.7 | 18% | 27% |
| Kennesaw State | 15.0–12.0 | 17% | 26% |
| Western Kentucky | 14.6–14.4 | 12% | 18% |
| Jacksonville State | 14.5–15.5 | 10% | 16% |
| Florida International | 14.3–14.7 |
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| 15% |
| Middle Tennessee | 13.6–13.4 | 12% | 18% |
| New Mexico State | 13.0–15.0 | 10% | 15% |
| Missouri State | 13.0–14.0 | 10% | 14% |
| Delaware | 11.1–17.9 | 4% | 7% |