College Basketball · Mid-American
AccuScore projects Miami (OH) to finish 18.0–11.0 with a 31% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.2% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 31.4% | |
| Play in the First Round | 27.0% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 12.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 5.7% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 2.4% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.2% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.5% | |
| Win the national title | 0.2% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (3%), 15 (3%), 14 (3%), 12 (3%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron | 18.3–9.7 | 26% | 37% |
| Miami (OH) | 18.0–11.0 | 21% | 31% |
| Toledo | 16.4–14.6 | 14% | 23% |
| Bowling Green | 16.2–12.8 | 11% | 18% |
| Massachusetts | 15.6–14.4 | 8% | 13% |
| Kent State | 14.5–13.5 | 10% |
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| 16% |
| Buffalo | 13.1–15.9 | 6% | 10% |
| Ohio | 12.7–16.3 | 5% | 9% |
| Ball State | 12.1–15.9 | 5% | 8% |
| Central Michigan | 11.8–17.2 | 5% | 8% |
| Eastern Michigan | 11.6–16.4 | 4% | 7% |
| Western Michigan | 11.5–16.5 | 4% | 7% |