College Basketball · Ohio Valley
AccuScore projects Morehead State to finish 13.7–14.3 with a 15% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.0% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 15.0% | |
| Play in the First Round | 10.6% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 2.9% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 1.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 0.3% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.1% | |
| Win the national title | 0.0% |
Likeliest seed lines: 16 (5%), 15 (3%), 14 (1%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| SIU Edwardsville | 14.0–13.0 | 16% | 16% |
| Tennessee State | 13.9–10.1 | 27% | 27% |
| Southeast Missouri State | 13.9–13.1 | 18% | 18% |
| Morehead State | 13.7–14.3 | 14% | 15% |
| Lindenwood | 13.3–13.7 | 15% | 15% |
| UT Martin | 13.2–12.8 |
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| 17% |
| Eastern Illinois | 11.5–16.5 | 8% | 8% |
| Southern Indiana | 10.4–16.6 | 6% | 6% |
| Western Illinois | 6.9–20.1 | 1% | 1% |