College Basketball · Southern
AccuScore projects Samford to finish 15.7–12.3 with a 23% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.1% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 23.1% | |
| Play in the First Round | 18.6% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 7.6% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 3.1% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 1.2% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 0.5% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.2% | |
| Win the national title | 0.1% |
Likeliest seed lines: 15 (4%), 16 (3%), 14 (2%), 13 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| East Tennessee State | 17.1–12.9 | 18% | 23% |
| Furman | 16.7–12.3 | 18% | 23% |
| Mercer | 15.7–14.3 | 16% | 21% |
| Samford | 15.7–12.3 | 19% | 23% |
| Chattanooga | 14.2–14.8 | 8% | 11% |
| Western Carolina | 14.1–12.9 | 15% |
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| 19% |
| Wofford | 13.5–15.5 | 9% | 12% |
| UNC Greensboro | 13.1–15.9 | 8% | 10% |
| Tennessee Tech | 11.7–17.3 | 5% | 7% |
| The Citadel | 10.4–18.6 | 3% | 4% |
| VMI | 9.2–18.8 | 2% | 2% |