College Basketball · Southland
AccuScore projects UT Rio Grande Valley to finish 17.6–12.4 with a 30% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.2% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 30.4% | |
| Play in the First Round | 26.3% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 12.8% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 5.8% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 2.7% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 1.2% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.5% | |
| Win the national title | 0.2% |
Likeliest seed lines: 13 (3%), 15 (3%), 14 (3%), 12 (2%).
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| McNeese | 19.7–9.3 | 31% | 46% |
| UT Rio Grande Valley | 17.6–12.4 | 19% | 30% |
| Stephen F. Austin | 16.7–11.3 | 17% | 29% |
| Texas A&M-Corpus Christi | 15.3–14.7 | 11% | 20% |
| LSU New Orleans | 14.4–15.6 | 8% | 15% |
| Lamar | 13.7–16.3 |
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| 10% |
| Nicholls | 13.7–16.3 | 6% | 11% |
| Incarnate Word | 13.3–18.7 | 5% | 10% |
| Houston Christian | 13.0–17.0 | 4% | 7% |
| Northwestern State | 12.4–17.6 | 4% | 8% |
| SE Louisiana | 12.1–19.9 | 4% | 7% |
| East Texas A&M | 11.7–19.3 | 3% | 6% |