World Cup
Across their last 4 decided games, the model had the winner in 4.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Argentina | L 1–3 | 0.3 – 1.3 | ✓ | |
| at Colombia | D 0–0 | 0.9 – 1.1 | — | |
| at Algeria | W 2–0 | 1.6 – 0.9 | ✓ | |
| at Canada | W 2–1 | 1.5 – 1.0 | ✓ | |
| at Bosnia and Herzegovina | W 4–1 | 1.5 – 0.7 | ✓ | |
| vs Qatar | D 1–1 | 1.6 – 0.3 | — |