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Bundesliga predictions and probabilities

Each Bundesliga match is simulated 10,000 times for a home, draw and away probability, a projected scoreline, over/under goals probabilities and the chance of each player scoring.

The Bundesliga is the highest-scoring of the leagues we cover, which makes the goals lines the busiest market on the card — and the one where a simulated distribution says more than a season average does. Our numbers sit next to the live price on every fixture, and the picks we publish are graded at that price afterwards.

Bundesliga predictions: common questions

Do you cover 2. Bundesliga?
Not currently. Only competitions we simulate and price are published.
What is the projected scoreline?
The average of 10,000 simulated results, which is why it carries a decimal. The most likely single scoreline is shown beside it.
Can I see the record for this league alone?
Yes — filter the accuracy page by Bundesliga for the graded picks and the running profit or loss.

Probabilities and projections come from AccuScore simulations; prices come from the bookmakers named beside them and move. Nothing here is betting advice. See the graded record.

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AccuScore has priced 1 Bundesliga game for Friday, October 16, the first at 2:30 PM ET. The most one-sided fixture on the board is Eintracht Frankfurt at 57% against FC Koln.

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Bundesliga • FRI, OCT 16 • 18:30In 5h
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 60%○ Sharp $
FC
FC Koln
20%
Draw23%
SGE
EintrachtFrankfurt
57%
1X2
SGE ML (-108)
EV +5.4%
Total
U 3.5 (+100)
EV -2.2%
rising
Record on picks like this · 1X2 · no qualifying pattern
Bundesliga · 50-60% chance to win · 4.5–7.5% edge · 1y
60%+20.7%n=10

Eintracht Frankfurt hosts Koln in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation clearly favours the home side.

Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 13:30In 1d
VFB
Stuttgart
@
HAM
HamburgerSV
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 13:30In 1d
M05
Mainz
@
S04
Schalke04
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 13:30In 1d
FCA
Augsburg
@
ELV
Elversberg
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 13:30In 1d
PAD
Paderborn
@
SVW
WerderBremen
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Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 13:30In 1d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 54%○ Sharp $
BVB
Dortmund
69%
Draw21%
FCU
UnionBerlin
10%
1X2
BVB -167
EV +5.2%
rising
Total
Under 3.5 (-139)
EV +9.9%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
Bundesliga · 60-70% chance to win · 7.5%+ edge · 3y
54%+2.7%n=242

Borussia Dortmund travels to Union Berlin in a Bundesliga matchup where the simulation decisively favors the visitors.

Bundesliga • SAT, OCT 17 • 16:30In 1d
RBL
RBLeipzig
@
FCB
BayernMunich
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Bundesliga • SUN, OCT 18 • 13:30In 2d
Silver✓ EV+○ Prob 62%○ Sharp $
SCF
Freiburg
24%
Draw21%
B04
BayerLeverkusen
55%
1X2
SCF +340
EV +3.0%
Total
Over 3.5 (+120)
EV +13.8%
Record on picks like this · Total · no qualifying pattern
our number 0-1 from the bookmaker's · backing the over · 1w
62%+16.6%n=41

Bayer Leverkusen hosts Freiburg in a Bundesliga fixture where the simulation clearly favors the home side.

Bundesliga • SUN, OCT 18 • 15:30In 2d
TSG
Hoffenheim
@
B.
B.Monchengladbach
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