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NCAAB

Wagner vs UConn Prediction, Odds & Live Score

Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

← Today's Edges
NCAAB•Tue, Nov 10 • 12:00 AMSilver Edge
WAG

Wagner

0-2

VS
CONN

#4UConn

2-0

Win Probability

Moneyline

WAG

+15000

0.0% win prob

EV -50.0%

Fanatics

Moneyline

CONN

-100000

100.0% win prob

EV +0.0%

Fanatics

Analysis

Wagner travels to face UConn in a matchup between an 0-2 Seahawks team and an unbeaten Huskies squad. The simulation strongly favours the hosts. UConn's depth should prove decisive: the model projects the Huskies to eclipse 88 points, while Wagner is expected to struggle around 52. The game hinges on whether Wagner can generate enough offensive firepower to keep pace—a tall task given the gap in scoring projection. In similar spots across eight recent games, the favoured team won all eight times. Wagner would need a historic shooting night and UConn to falter significantly to pull off the upset.

Probability Explorer— drag to explore lines

Point SpreadCONN -35.5
-6.5-37.25-68
WAG Cover
48.6%
no odds at this line
CONN Cover
51.4%
no odds at this line
Total (Over/Under)O/U 141.5
104.5141.75179
Over Cover
47.9%
EV -4.3%
-110Fanatics ↗
Under Cover
52.1%
EV -0.3%
-110Fanatics ↗

1st Half

AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.

Leads at the half

0.5%WAG
Tied 0.3%
CONN99.2%
1st Half SpreadCONN -20.5
0-20-40
WAG Cover
50.6%
no odds at this line
CONN Cover
49.4%
no odds at this line
1st Half Total (Over/Under)1H O/U 67
476787
Over Cover
48.1%
no odds at this line
Under Cover
47.9%
no odds at this line
Push 3.9% — stake returned if it lands exactly on the total

Player Props

CONN WAG
Sort:

Odds Comparison

Spread

BookLineCONNEVWAGEV
FanDuel ↗-37.5-106-6.1%-114+1.4%
Fanatics ↗-38-105-7.4%-115+2.8%

Moneyline

BookCONNEVWAGEV
Fanatics ↗-100000+0.0%+15000-50.0%

Total (O/U)

BookLineOverEV (O)UnderEV (U)
FanDuel ↗142.5-110-7.1%-110+2.6%
Fanatics ↗141.5-110-4.3%-110-0.3%

Where to Bet

silver
WAG +37.5+1.4% EV

Win probability: 54.8%

FanDuel
-114Bet →

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AccuScore's simulation makes UConn 100% to beat Wagner (0%).

Projection updated Nov 8, 10:51 PM ET

Who will win Wagner vs UConn?

AccuScore's simulation makes UConn the more likely winner at 100%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.

Will UConn beat Wagner?

AccuScore's simulation gives UConn a 100% chance of beating Wagner, against 0% for Wagner. UConn are at home and favoured on these numbers.

Every Wagner vs UConn meeting →Wagner predictions & record →UConn predictions & record →

Season outlook

Wagner (0-2 so far) project to finish 11.2–15.8 and make the NCAA Tournament in 21% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

UConn (2-0 so far) project to finish 24.9–7.1 and make the NCAA Tournament in 95% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.

TeamProjected recordConference titlePlayoffs
Wagner11.2–15.818%21%
UConn24.9–7.148%95%

From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →

Form, head-to-head and betting trends

How Wagner and UConn come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.

Recent form

WagnerL
  • Nov 3at Boston CollegeL 50–76

Wagner have won 0 of their last 1 (L, most recent first).

UConnWW
  • Nov 6vs MichiganW 85–77
  • Nov 2vs Gardner-WebbW 86–46

UConn have won 2 of their last 2 (W-W, most recent first).