Kent State
1-1
UNC Wilmington
2-0
Win Probability
Moneyline
KENT
-188
31.6% win prob
EV -25.8%
Polymarket
Moneyline
UNCW
-5429
68.4% win prob
EV -15.2%
Polymarket
UNC Wilmington hosts Kent State in a matchup where the simulation decisively favors the Seahawks. Patrick Wessler has a 49% chance of exceeding 27 points, rebounds and assists, while Christian Henry carries Kent State's offensive load with the same 49% threshold at 20 combined. The game hinges on whether Kent State's backcourt can generate enough volume to keep pace; AccuScore's model has favored similar configurations 81% of the time across 1,336 graded games. For the Golden Flashes to pull the upset, they would need their role players—Quinn Woidke and Cameron Williams both at 47% to exceed 15 and 18 combined respectively—to sustain scoring runs that UNC Wilmington's deeper rotation cannot match.
AccuScore's simulation of the first half, priced against the books' 1st-half lines.
Leads at the half
EV is the simulation's chance times the book's price, minus 1. It is what the simulation expects, not a guaranteed return; the props archive shows what value picks actually earned.
| Book | UNCW | EV | KENT | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket ↗ | -5429 | -15.2% | -188 | -25.8% |
Get one of today's Gold picks delivered every morning — free.
No spam. Unsubscribe anytime.
NCAAB
AccuScore's simulation makes UNC Wilmington 68% to beat Kent State (32%).
Projection updated
AccuScore's simulation makes UNC Wilmington the more likely winner at 68%. The projection updates as team news and prices move.
AccuScore's simulation gives UNC Wilmington a 68% chance of beating Kent State, against 32% for Kent State. UNC Wilmington are at home and favoured on these numbers.
Kent State (0-1 so far) project to finish 15.5–12.5 and make the NCAA Tournament in 10% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
UNC Wilmington (1-0 so far) project to finish 18.8–11.2 and make the NCAA Tournament in 15% of AccuScore's simulated seasons.
| Team | Projected record | Conference title | Playoffs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State | 15.5–12.5 | 10% | 10% |
| UNC Wilmington | 18.8–11.2 | 15% | 15% |
From AccuScore's daily simulation of the rest of the season. Every NCAAB team's projection →
How Kent State and UNC Wilmington come into this game: their latest results, every meeting on record and how each has fared against the betting market.
UNC Wilmington have won 1 of their last 1 (W, most recent first).