World Cup
Across their last 7 decided games, the model had the winner in 6.
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Argentina | W 1–0 | 1.2 – 0.9 | ✓ | |
| vs France | W 2–0 | 1.1 – 1.3 | ✗ | |
| at Belgium | W 2–1 | 1.8 – 0.8 | ✓ | |
| vs Portugal | W 1–0 | 1.8 – 1.0 | ✓ | |
| at Austria | W 3–0 | 2.4 – 0.5 | ✓ | |
| vs Uruguay | W 1–0 | 1.4 – 0.7 | ✓ | |
| at Saudi Arabia | W 4–0 | 3.8 – 0.4 | ✓ | |
| at Cape Verde | D 0–0 | 2.9 – 0.6 | — |