College Basketball · Big 12
AccuScore projects TCU to finish 19.5–10.5 with a 61% chance of making the NCAA Tournament and a 0.3% chance of winning the national championship.
From the daily season simulation: every remaining game played out thousands of times, then the 76-team tournament. All 365 schools →
| Make the field | 60.9% | |
| Play in the First Round | 52.8% | |
| Reach the Second Round | 31.7% | |
| Reach the Sweet 16 | 13.2% | |
| Reach the Elite Eight | 5.4% | |
| Reach the Final Four | 2.1% | |
| Reach the Championship | 0.8% | |
| Win the national title | 0.3% |
Likeliest seed lines: 11 (8%), 12 (7%), 8 (6%), 10 (6%).
| Date | Opponent | Result | We projected | Winner called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Southern | W 106–54 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ | |
| vs Lindenwood | W 98–59 | 🔒 Pro | ✓ |
| School | Proj | Conf title | Tourney |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston | 25.0–5.0 | 41% | 98% |
| Kansas | 22.4–7.6 | 17% | 93% |
| Iowa State | 21.4–8.6 | 13% | 86% |
| Arizona | 20.9–9.1 | 17% | 91% |
| BYU | 20.8–9.2 | 7% | 78% |
| Texas Tech | 20.2–8.8 | 10% |
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| 81% |
| TCU | 19.5–10.5 | 3% | 61% |
| Cincinnati | 19.2–12.8 | 3% | 53% |
| Baylor | 19.2–9.8 | 7% | 75% |
| Arizona State | 18.8–13.2 | 2% | 43% |
| West Virginia | 18.7–11.3 | 4% | 59% |
| Oklahoma State | 17.6–14.4 | 1% | 42% |
| Utah | 15.0–17.0 | 0% | 12% |
| Colorado | 14.9–16.1 | 1% | 23% |
| UCF | 14.7–16.3 | 0% | 24% |
| Kansas State | 13.0–17.0 | 0% | 13% |