How each NFL game is projected to stand at half time: the chance each side is ahead, the chance it is level, and the projected first-half score. A first half is a three-way market — it can finish tied — so the three probabilities below are the whole picture. AccuScore makes Green Bay Packers 56% to lead at the half in the next game.
| Game | Away leads | Tied | Home leads | Projected 1H score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Falcons at Green Bay Packers · Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET | 35% | 9% | 56% | 9.6 – 10.8 |
| New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 42% | 8% | 50% | 12.7 – 13.2 |
| Los Angeles Chargers at Buffalo Bills · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 33% | 7% | 60% | 13.0 – 14.7 |
| Kansas City Chiefs at Miami Dolphins · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 85% | 4% | 11% | 14.8 – 9.2 |
| New York Jets at Detroit Lions · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 8% | 4% | 88% | 9.5 – 15.9 |
| Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 47% | 9% | 44% | 10.3 – 10.1 |
| Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 77% | 6% | 17% | 12.1 – 8.3 |
| Tennessee Titans at New York Giants · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 50% | 9% | 41% | 10.3 – 9.7 |
| Seattle Seahawks at Washington Commanders · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 88% | 4% | 8% | 11.8 – 6.3 |
| Carolina Panthers at Cleveland Browns · Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET | 68% | 9% | 23% | 7.5 – 5.4 |
| Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers · Sun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET | 4% | 2% | 93% | 8.0 – 15.7 |
| Minnesota Vikings at Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Sun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET | 44% | 8% | 48% | 11.3 – 11.5 |
| Baltimore Ravens at Dallas Cowboys · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET | 45% | 8% | 47% | 12.2 – 12.3 |
| Las Vegas Raiders at New Orleans Saints · Sun, Sep 27, 4:25 PM ET | 27% | 7% | 66% | 10.3 – 12.7 |
| Los Angeles Rams at Denver Broncos · Sun, Sep 27, 8:20 PM ET | 33% | 9% | 58% | 9.3 – 10.7 |
| Philadelphia Eagles at Chicago Bears · Mon, Sep 28, 8:15 PM ET | 40% | 8% | 52% | 10.6 – 11.3 |
A first-half bet settles on the score at half time rather than at the end of the game. The common markets are the first-half spread, the first-half total and the first-half moneyline — and unlike the full game, a first half can finish level, so the moneyline is usually a three-way market.
The same simulation that prices the full game is read at half time, so the first-half projection comes from the lineups and matchups actually expected rather than from a split of the full-game number. Each figure is the share of simulated games in which that outcome happened by the half.
Scripted opening drives, starting units and a coach's plan are more predictable than what happens after adjustments, injuries and game state take over. A team that starts fast and fades can be a better first-half bet than a full-game one.